Thursday, April 24, 2008

And Now for Something Completely Different

Phil Chapman | April 23, 2008

THE scariest photo I have seen on the internet is, where you will find a real-time image of the sun from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory, located in deep space at the equilibrium point between solar and terrestrial gravity.

What is scary about the picture is that there is only one tiny sunspot.

Disconcerting as it may be to true believers in global warming, the average temperature on Earth has remained steady or slowly declined during the past decade, despite the continued increase in the atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide, and now the global temperature is falling precipitously.

All four agencies that track Earth's temperature (the Hadley Climate Research Unit in Britain, the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York, the Christy group at the University of Alabama, and Remote Sensing Systems Inc in California) report that it cooled by about 0.7C in 2007. This is the fastest temperature change in the instrumental record and it puts us back where we were in 1930. If the temperature does not soon recover, we will have to conclude that global warming is over.

There is also plenty of anecdotal evidence that 2007 was exceptionally cold. It snowed in Baghdad for the first time in centuries, the winter in China was simply terrible and the extent of Antarctic sea ice in the austral winter was the greatest on record since James Cook discovered the place in 1770.

It is generally not possible to draw conclusions about climatic trends from events in a single year, so I would normally dismiss this cold snap as transient, pending what happens in the next few years.

This is where SOHO comes in. The sunspot number follows a cycle of somewhat variable length, averaging 11 years. The most recent minimum was in March last year. The new cycle, No.24, was supposed to start soon after that, with a gradual build-up in sunspot numbers.

It didn't happen. The first sunspot appeared in January this year and lasted only two days. A tiny spot appeared last Monday but vanished within 24 hours. Another little spot appeared this Monday. Pray that there will be many more, and soon.

@ The Austrailian


Just shows to go ya, soon as you think you have it all figured out, someone comes along and throws a wrench at you knocking your thoughts out of whack and causing others, OUCH!

Better stock up on snow shovels and cold weather gear, Global Warming is yesterdays issue. This roller coaster science ride is getting pretty weird doncha think?

Picture the planet frosted over with snow down to Georgia and no oil left to burn to keep warm because some dumb yuppies burned it all up in their gas pig SUV's, brrrr!
better buy a ticket to the tropics where the weather should be livable.

Wait, I'll be dead in 20 years anyhow, screw it! Party like it's 1999



micki said...

The crisis should be framed as climate change.

But...if one thing doesn't get ya, another one will...

Scientists discovered new faults near Port Angeles and Bellingham and have also found that the Whidbey Island fault is longer than previously thought.

Saladin said...

Don't worry DEN, they'll find a way to blame that on us too, they will make us pay no matter what, and the sheeple will comply, that's what they do.

DEN said...

They who?

David B. Benson said...

That site certainly cleverly combines a little fact with a lot of fiction to just MSU (Make Stuff Up).

Here are the 10-year averages of the global temperatures sine 1850 CE:

Temperatures since 1850

Here are the yearly human-caused additions of CO2 over a longer interval:

CO2 Emission Trends

and yesterday Micki posted regarding the AGGI.

DEN said...

Well Doc The title sez it all.

Rather odd but April blizzards and persistent cold make it all seem there might be some merit.

Given the cooling mentioned combined with the increased CO2, what might the effects be?

Warming could be negated by the lack of Solar activity even though the past solar activity has been significant up until now?

Saladin said...

DEN, what it proves is that CO2 is NOT the driving force behind climate, it never was and never will be.
And by "they" I am referring to the taxing powers that be. Why did it go from global warming to climate change? Could it be the fact that they are full of shit and know it? Could it be that the planet isn't cooperating with the agenda hype so now adjustments must be made? Could it be that this new term will cover a multitude of sins, all of which can be blamed on human activity while conveniently ignoring the truly life threatening activities our politicians and their fascist corporations are engaging in, like GMO food, DU poisoning, endless war and destruction and the misery that follows, this idiotic biofuel lunacy that is a driving force behind world food prices and starving people? Good God, the list is endless.

And, the people are going to vote to continue this insanity, all they ask for in return are a few paltry crumbs.

Obliteration Obscenity

‘WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton warned Tehran that if she were president, the United States could "totally obliterate" Iran in retaliation for a nuclear strike against Israel.’

Not up close and personal obliteration, that would spatter one’s coiffure with bloodspots and gore, but remotely, dispassionately...all seventy million Iranians, mostly young, and mostly progressive, just like ourselves; men, women and children; human, all too human.

Unlike you, Madam, one of the fabled six percent of the population, the psychopaths. Your body count is already impressive, if one can believe reports. Though you may not be forbad to wade through slaughter to a throne, you are forbad to wade beyond it. To threaten obliteration of peaceful civilian populations, is terrorism. To act it, is a war-crime under the Nurenberg Principles.

Come, you spirits
That tend on mortal thoughts, unsex me here,
And fill me, from the crown to the toe, top-full
Of direst cruelty! Make thick my blood,
Stop up th' access and passage to remorse,
That no compunctious visitings of nature
Shake my fell purpose, nor keep peace between
The effect and it! Come to my woman's breasts,
And take my milk for gall, you murd'ring ministers,
Wherever in your sightless substances
You wait on nature's mischief! Come, thick night,
And pall thee in the dunnest smoke of hell,
That my keen knife see not the wound it makes,
Nor heaven peep through the blanket of the dark,
To cry "Hold, hold!"

- Lady Macbeth

micki said...

Oh brother!

David B. Benson said...

Den --- Here is the cause of the regional cold:

Larger Pacific Climate Event Helps Current La Nina Linger

with a fine blow-up picture.

Sadadin --- John Tyndall, already in the 1850s, demonstrated the glocal warming (so-called greenhouse) effect of atmospheric carbon dioxide in his laboratory. This is not exactly something new, y'know...

David B. Benson said...

Micki --- Oh sister!

Carey said...

Wonderful, Micki. First it was a tornado touching down in Washington and now new faults.

Well, I'm in a small panic. Rev. Wright is loose. This can only mean harm to the campaign. It could be too late to stop the damage. I'm not kidding.

I'm seeing things I don't like out there. That Hillary's "a damn good fighter" and Obama is sooooo honest. "He can't win, she can against the Rove machine."

Wright is speaking the the National Press Club next week and I believe he'll be on Moyers tomorrow night.

Oh dear.

Carey said...

I'm not editing myself well lately.

Syria doesn't have oil or we'd be threatening them with nukes too.

White House Says Syria 'Must Come Clean' About Nuclear Work

Carey said...

The other overriding factor is the Republicans would like nothing better than to run against Hillary.

They're out there helping the Clinton camp out cheering her on talking about what a good fighter she is, yakety-yak.

I needed to vent that--Repugs piss me off so much. That, and the fact that Hillary is McCain light.

DEN said...

Doc, one question Why is the ocean temp. cooler?

Could it not be a storage device for solar energy and is adjusting to the lack of solar activity.

Some research needed but me thinks they are related.

DEN said...

Carey, as crazy as it is now it will only get crazier.

I cannot believe the support for the geezer! Sheesh the guy could blow a vessel any time.

@70-something any day you wake up is a good one.

David B. Benson said...

Den --- The change in solar irradiance from the peak to the trough (where we are now) of the sunspot cycle is something like one part in 1300. Not enough to matter.

Ordinarily the cool bottom water from the Southern Ocean upwells along the South American coast. During a La Nina event, it spreads out, as can be seen. Nothing extraordinary about any of it.

Anyway, here is something vastly more likely to finish us off soon:

Humans May Lose Battle With Bacteria, Medicinal Chemist's Research Shows

√≤¿√≥arol said...

There is a rich guy in Lansing, a Hillary backer, that wants the delegates seated. They'd better not do that because half the voters stayed home because they said the votes wouldn't count and besides only Hillary and Kucinich were on the ballot. Now they're talking about the disenfranchised voters that went down to vote. WHAT ABOUT US WHO DIDN'T? It's over, folks. No MI delegates. They better not give in.

That schmuck, what the hell's his name...oh yeah, Joel Ferguson. A rich black guy. He also wants the delegates votes to count as a half vote while his super delegate vote would count as a whole vote. There ya go. Another rich guy who thinks he's more important that the rest of us. I hate 'em all.

tytandanmar said...

I was taught from an early age that there are four seasons. And in my 47 years on this earth no season has been the same from year to year. Call it what you will but it is something that neighbors have discussed over fences and across porches. It is weather, that is all and nothing more. If the scientific community is so perfect how come weatherpersons are only correct about 50% of the time, if that? It was supposed to rain here in KY today and I dressed for it. High of 82 and nothing but sunshine. As Hajji says, "Go Figgur."

God created life on this planet and only God can destroy it. Man can obliterate man and other life forms but not all life and certainly not the planet Earth.

Carey said...


Settle in for mucho attention on your state. It's part of Hillary's argument, those delegates, even though she signed the pledge along with other Dem candidates that acknowledges the primary should be discounted.

Carey said...

You're right, David. Bacteria is far more likely.

Hajji said...

Interesting PBS show last night. Ed Norton hosting...forget the title and too tired to look it up..."Strange...something"..

About how overfishing off the coast of Africa leads to a build up in certain phytoplankton blooms, which die and accumulate on the bottom sediment, creating massive Methane and Hydrogen Sulfide? pockets that finally escape and expand as they rise to the surface...

The Sulfur gets freed into the water, killing even more (most?)fish in an area the size of New Jersey...

The dead fish wash up on sulfur-soaked shores...

Then the lack of fish causes a massive increase in poaching for "bush-meat" in the Congolese national forrests...

The loss of competition and fear from predators causes the baboon population to explode, and emboldens the marauding troops to organize massive night-time raids on human settlements' crops and livestock. (imagine a gazillion Ozzy Osbornes in a chicken farm!)

...oh, and the farmers' children then have to stay home from school to guard the family's holdings from the interlopers...

So...overfishing leads to uneducated populations...

Cause, effect, cause, effect...


DEN said...

What is this guy, a comedian??

California Rep. Jerry Lewis, the ranking Republican on the Appropriations Committee, announced Thursday that he would offer Senate-passed legislation to expand the current surveillance law to an upcoming spending bill for those two wars when his panel considers that measure in the next few weeks.

"As a result of the inaction by the Democrat leadership, this vital weapon in our arsenal against terror has been lost," Lewis said in a release. "Since the Democrat leadership has refused to schedule a vote on this critical legislation - which the White House and the Senate both overwhelmingly endorse - I will offer it as part of our war supplemental in committee."

Lewis would need support from committee Democrats to successfully attach the FISA update to the spending bill, making it almost impossible for him to add it. But, at the very least, he would put members of the majority on the record rejecting the Senate bill, something Republicans have done repeatedly since Democratic leaders in the House allowed a stopgap measure Congress approved over the summer to lapse.

Or just stupid?

DEN said...

Take away my "Truck Nutz"? Sac-rilige!

TALLAHASSEE, Florida (Reuters) - Senate lawmakers in Florida have voted to ban the fake bull testicles that dangle from the trailer hitches of many trucks and cars throughout the state.

Republican Sen. Cary Baker, a gun shop owner from Eustis, Florida, called the adornments offensive and proposed the ban. Motorists would be fined $60 for displaying the novelty items, which are known by brand names like "Truck Nutz" and resemble the south end of a bull moving north.

The Florida Senate voted last week to add the measure to a broader transportation bill, but it is not included in the House version.

In a spirited debate laced with double entendre, Senate lawmakers questioned whether the state should curtail freedom of expression in vehicle accessories.

Critics of the ban included the Senate Rules Chairman, Sen. Jim King, a Jacksonville Republican whose truck sported a pair until his wife protested.

The bill's sponsor doubted it would succeed.

"It's probably not going to make it through the process," Baker said on Thursday. "It won't be much of story in a few days."

Sorry, I left them on my Harley!

micki said...

To the poster Ty:

Well, if you want to bring God into the climate crisis discussion, you should keep in mind that the bible mandates stewardship of God's creation.

Most intelligent discussions don't claim that Earth will not survive. They argue that Earth will revive after certain cataclysmic, mostly anthropogenic-caused, events. They will argue that because clean air, clean water and adequate resources are crucial to human health and civic order that humankind (government and citizens) have an obligation to protect itself from the effects of environmental degradation.

Since you apparently think it's all in God's hands, you might rue the day when He asks you, "What did you do with what I created?"

Are you going to say, "I thought you'd take care of it?"

micki said...

If the scientific community is so perfect how come weatherpersons are only correct about 50% of the time, if that?

First, who said that the scientific community is "perfect?"

But, "weatherpersons" aren't always scientists -- often they are "weather readers." But, that's another story.

But, in any event.....CLIMATE CHANGE IS NOT WEATHER FORECASTING, or vice-versa.